A Better BCS
نویسندگان
چکیده
Most NCAA football teams never play each other in a given season, which has made ranking them a long-running and much-debated problem. The official Bowl Championship Series (BCS) standings are determined in equal parts by input from coaches, sports writers, and an average of algorithmic rankings. These standing determine which teams play for the national championship, and, in part, which teams appear in each bowl (playoff) game. We seek an algorithm that ranks teams better than the BCS standings do. In particular, since the BCS standings serve to match teams in bowl games, we want better bowl game prediction accuracy. This is a uniquely difficult prediction problem because, by design, teams squaring off in a bowl game are generally evenly-matched and come from different conferences, which means they are unlikely to have many common opponents, if any.
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